Have you ever noticed how talkative CEOs are and how they jump at opportunities to explain their firm, its products, and its markets to all sorts of media? Perhaps you thought that was because they have sizable egos that need to be maintained by seeing themselves in prominent media outlets. Perhaps you are right. But there is also something else going on, something that is quite important for stock market valuations of firms, and something that we have been doing research on.
Firms differ in how easy they are to
understand. Now, I am not talking about their customers. Firms with products
and services that customers find hard to understand will not be around for
long. If the world had been filled with people like me, bubble tea outlets
would not exist – I truly don’t understand them. But firms can offer a lot of
products that each is easy to understand for the customer, but those who assess
their management – especially security analysts who recommend investments to
equity holders – may still find the combination hard to understand.
The keyword is “we see them as coherent”, which
means that Apple presents a story to the world that is generally accepted and
that lets security analysts recommend them to investors. In research published in Organization Science, Sang Won Han and I found that this holds for firms in
general, and it had some interesting implications. First, we were able to
measure how well firm self-description and analyst understanding matched, and
we showed the consequences of mismatch. It led to lower valuation, and worse
penalty for operating in multiple industries. We also showed how this could
change over time. Firm self-descriptions could bring analyst understanding
closer, improving valuation, but the central mover in this connection remained
the analyst.
So regardless of why CEOs want to talk, we know
it is useful. The stock market valuation of a firm is not only about value
creation; it is also about story creation.